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問:為什麼香港民研在比較歷任特首和港督,在上任時的民望數字時,採用單次調查的數字,而非首個月的平均數字?

Q: When comparing the popularity ratings of previous chief executives and governors when they took office, why does PORI use the figures of a single survey rather than the average figures of the first month?

答:在民研最新發放的新聞稿以及社交媒體的推文中,民研比較了特首李家超和所有前特首以及彭定康的第一次民望評分,用意是開局一刻與開局一刻的比較。如果是使用多次調查的平均分,則可能把「開局」的概念模糊化。況且,讀者在民研的網頁上,可以隨意選擇按次評分、按月平均評分、或者半年總結評分,各取所需。需要說明,以往多個特首在上任之前,民研便已進行民望調查,但今年只有一個候選人,上任前又沒有廣泛的民間互動,所以民研亦沒有進行候任特首民望調查,這是民意研究上的損失。

A: In PORI’s latest press release and social media tweets, PORI compared the first popularity rating of the Chief Executive John Lee with that of all former chief executives and Governor Chris Pattern. The intention is to create the comparison between the moment of ‘opening’ of respective leaders. Using the average score of multiple surveys may blur the concept of ‘opening’. Moreover, on the website of PORI, readers can choose freely from ratings per poll, ratings per monthly average, or ratings per half-yearly average. It should be noted that in the past, usually before the Chief Executive took office, PORI had already conducted relevant popularity surveys. However, there was only one candidate in this year’s election, and there was no extensive interaction between the citizens and the candidate before he took office, PORI hence did not conduct any popularity surveys on the Chief- Executive-Elect. It was a loss in the field of public opinion research.

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