2022年6月7日香港民意研究所發佈會 – 傳媒參考資料
發佈會直播
講者:
劉銳紹 - 時事評論員
梁寶霖 - 香港社會保障學會會長
特別宣佈
香港民意研究所（香港民研）前身為香港大學民意研究計劃（港大民研）。公報內的「香港民研」指的可以是香港民意研究所或其前身港大民研。
香港民研每半年檢視和調整工作一次，部份改變已在五月四日（即民研三周年）之後啟動，包括下調新聞發佈會的次數和啟動網上公民教育工作。今日開始，我們正式啟動「一國兩制25周年中期民情總結」，暫時以兩個月為第一階段，逐個星期以不同形式發佈各個項目總結。民研本星期會先以官員民望打頭陣，下星期再總結六四民情，然後是身份認同和回歸周年，詳情容後公佈。七月開始，我們打算下調定期民意調查的次數，由每月兩次減至每月一次，以便爭取資源進行公民教育和民情總結。同時，民研亦希望教育大眾，數字歸數字，評論歸評論。所有由民調數字引發的個人評論，責任由論者自負，與民研無關。
公報簡要
香港民研於五月尾至六月初由真實訪問員以隨機抽樣電話訪問方式成功訪問了1,000名香港居民。最新調查顯示，特首林鄭月娥的評分為36.0分，有27%受訪者給予林鄭月娥0分，民望淨值為負60個百分點，評分和民望淨值與一個月前分別不大。局長方面，民政事務局局長徐英偉已離任，而餘下十二位局長之中有五位的民望淨值錄得正數，分別是鄧炳強、黃錦星、邱騰華、許正宇及曾國衞。對比約三個月前，八位局長的支持率淨值上升，二人下跌，二人不變，當中鄧炳強及陳肇始的支持率淨值分別顯著上升11和23個百分點。另外，曾國衞的支持率淨值創其2020年5月上任以來新高，楊潤雄的支持率淨值則創2019年8月以來新高。在95%置信水平下，調查的百分比誤差不超過+/-4%，淨值誤差不超過+/-8%，評分誤差不超過+/-1.9。
樣本資料
| 調查日期 | ： | 31/5-5/6/2022 |
| 調查方法 | ： | 由真實訪問員進行隨機抽樣電話訪問 |
| 訪問對象 | ： | 18歲或以上操粵語的香港居民 |
| 成功樣本數目[1] | ： | 1,000 (包括500個固網及500個手機樣本) |
| 實效回應比率 | ： | 待定 |
| 抽樣誤差[2] | ： | 在95%置信水平下，百分比誤差不超過+/-4%，淨值誤差不超過+/-8%，評分誤差不超過+/-1.9 |
| 加權方法 | ： | 按照政府統計處提供的統計數字以「反覆多重加權法」作出調整。全港人口年齡及性別分佈統計數字來自《二零二一年年中人口數字》，而教育程度（最高就讀程度）及經濟活動身分統計數字則來自《香港的女性及男性 - 主要統計數字》（2021年版）。 |
- 數字為調查的總樣本數目，個別題目則可能只涉及次樣本。有關數字請參閱下列數表內列出的樣本數目。
- 此公報中所有誤差數字均以95%置信水平計算。95%置信水平，是指倘若以不同隨機樣本重複進行有關調查100次，則95次各自計算出的誤差範圍會包含人口真實數字。由於調查數字涉及抽樣誤差，傳媒引用百分比數字時，應避免使用小數點，在引用評分數字時，則可以使用一個小數點。
最新數據
以下是特首林鄭月娥的最新民望數字：
| 調查日期 | 3-6/1/22 | 7-10/2/22 | 7-11/3/22 | 4-7/4/22 | 30/4-6/5/22 | 31/5-5/6/22 | 最新變化 |
| 樣本數目 | 1,021 | 1,012 | 1,000 | 1,014 | 1,000 | 1,000 | -- |
| 回應比率 | 52.7% | 58.1% | 51.5% | 49.8% | 41.5% | 待定 | -- |
| 最新結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果及 誤差 |
-- |
| 特首林鄭月娥評分 | 33.8 | 31.9 | 26.6[3] | 33.4[3] | 34.7 | 36.0+/-1.9 | +1.4 |
| 林鄭月娥出任特首支持率 | 19% | 18% | 12%[3] | 13% | 14% | 17+/-2% | +3% |
| 林鄭月娥出任特首反對率 | 67% | 70% | 78%[3] | 78% | 78% | 77+/-3% | -- |
| 支持率淨值 | -48% | -53% | -67%[3] | -65% | -64% | -60+/-5% | +3% |
- 該數字與上次調查結果的差異超過在95%置信水平的抽樣誤差，表示有關變化在統計學上表面成立。不過，變化在統計學上成立與否，並不等同有關變化是否有實際用途或意義，而不同調查的加權方法亦可能有所不同。
以下是各局長的最新民望數字，按支持率淨值排列[4]：
| 調查日期 | 6-10/9/21 | 29/11-3/12/21 | 7-11/3/22 | 31/5-5/6/22 | 最新變化 |
| 樣本數目 | 604-631 | 601-636 | 575-596 | 569-599 | -- |
| 回應比率 | 44.2% | 44.9% | 51.5% | 待定 | -- |
| 最新結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果及誤差 | -- |
| 鄧炳強出任保安局局長支持率 | 43% | 40% | 38% | 44+/-4% | +6%[5] |
| 鄧炳強出任保安局局長反對率 | 40% | 39% | 39% | 34+/-4% | -5% |
| 支持率淨值 | 2% | 1% | -1% | 10+/-8% | +11%[5] |
| 黃錦星出任環境局局長支持率 | 33% | 27%[5] | 28% | 29+/-4% | +1% |
| 黃錦星出任環境局局長反對率 | 18% | 26%[5] | 21% | 22+/-3% | +1% |
| 支持率淨值 | 14% | 1%[5] | 7% | 7+/-6% | -- |
| 邱騰華出任商務及經濟發展局局長支持率 | 33% | 27%[5] | 25% | 30+/-4% | +5% |
| 邱騰華出任商務及經濟發展局局長反對率 | 27% | 31% | 25%[5] | 24+/-4% | -1% |
| 支持率淨值 | 6% | -3%[5] | <1% | 6+/-6% | +6% |
| 許正宇出任財經事務及庫務局局長支持率 | 22% | 17%[5] | 17% | 21+/-3% | +4% |
| 許正宇出任財經事務及庫務局局長反對率 | 16% | 22%[5] | 15%[5] | 15+/-3% | -- |
| 支持率淨值 | 7% | -5%[5] | 2%[5] | 5+/-5% | +3% |
| 曾國衞出任政制及內地事務局局長支持率 | 25% | 27% | 23% | 25+/-4% | +2% |
| 曾國衞出任政制及內地事務局局長反對率 | 27% | 34%[5] | 27%[5] | 24+/-4% | -3% |
| 支持率淨值 | -2% | -7% | -4% | 1+/-6% | +5% |
| 聶德權出任公務員事務局局長支持率 | 30% | 31% | 27% | 25+/-4% | -2% |
| 聶德權出任公務員事務局局長反對率 | 27% | 29% | 26% | 26+/-4% | -- |
| 支持率淨值 | 3% | 2% | 1% | -1+/-6% | -2% |
| 黃偉綸出任發展局局長支持率 | 22% | 19% | 18% | 19+/-3% | -- |
| 黃偉綸出任發展局局長反對率 | 17% | 23%[5] | 22% | 22+/-3% | -1% |
| 支持率淨值 | 5% | -4%[5] | -4% | -3+/-5% | +1% |
| 薛永恒出任創新及科技局局長支持率 | 27% | 23% | 20% | 18+/-3% | -2% |
| 薛永恒出任創新及科技局局長反對率 | 20% | 23% | 24% | 25+/-4% | +1% |
| 支持率淨值 | 7% | -<1% | -5% | -8+/-5% | -3% |
| 羅致光出任勞工及福利局局長支持率 | 32% | 25%[5] | 23% | 27+/-4% | +5% |
| 羅致光出任勞工及福利局局長反對率 | 24%[7] | 37%[5] | 38% | 35+/-4% | -2% |
| 支持率淨值 | 8% | -12%[5] | -15% | -8+/-7% | +7% |
| 陳帆出任運輸及房屋局局長支持率 | 29% | 22%[5] | 22% | 22+/-4% | -- |
| 陳帆出任運輸及房屋局局長反對率 | 23%[7] | 31%[5] | 32% | 32+/-4% | -- |
| 支持率淨值 | 5%[7] | -9%[5] | -10% | -10+/-6% | -- |
| 陳肇始出任食物及衛生局局長支持率 | 25% | 24% | 16%[5] | 25+/-4% | +9%[5] |
| 陳肇始出任食物及衛生局局長反對率 | 38% | 40% | 58%[5] | 43+/-4% | -14%[5] |
| 支持率淨值 | -13% | -16% | -42%[5] | -19+/-7% | +23%[5] |
| 楊潤雄出任教育局局長支持率 | 21% | 17%[5] | 17% | 22+/-3% | +4% |
| 楊潤雄出任教育局局長反對率 | 48% | 48% | 47% | 46+/-4% | -1% |
| 支持率淨值 | -27% | -31% | -29% | -24+/-7% | +5% |
- 如四捨五入後的數字相同，則會再考慮小數點後的數字。
- 該數字與上次調查結果的差異超過在95%置信水平的抽樣誤差，表示有關變化在統計學上表面成立。不過，變化在統計學上成立與否，並不等同有關變化是否有實際用途或意義，而不同調查的加權方法亦可能有所不同。
最新調查顯示，特首林鄭月娥的評分為36.0分，有27%受訪者給予林鄭月娥0分，其支持率為17%，反對率為77%，民望淨值為負60個百分點，評分和民望淨值與一個月前分別不大。
局長方面，民政事務局局長徐英偉已離任，而餘下十二位局長之中有五位的民望淨值錄得正數，排名由高至低分別是保安局局長鄧炳強、環境局局長黃錦星、商務及經濟發展局局長邱騰華、財經事務及庫務局局長許正宇及政制及內地事務局局長曾國衞。而排名第六至第十二，民望淨值錄得負值的則有公務員事務局局長聶德權、發展局局長黃偉綸、創新及科技局局長薛永恒、勞工及福利局局長羅致光、運輸及房屋局局長陳帆、食物及衛生局局長陳肇始和教育局局長楊潤雄。對比約三個月前，八位局長的支持率淨值上升，二人下跌，二人不變，當中鄧炳強及陳肇始的支持率淨值分別顯著上升11和23個百分點。另外，曾國衞的支持率淨值創其2020年5月上任以來新高，楊潤雄的支持率淨值則創2019年8月以來新高。
根據香港民研的標準，沒有官員屬於「表現理想」或「表現成功」，鄧炳強、邱騰華、黃錦星、羅致光、聶德權、陳肇始、陳帆及楊潤雄屬於「表現一般」，曾國衞、許正宇、黃偉綸及薛永恒屬於「表現不彰」，沒有官員屬於「表現失敗」，林鄭月娥屬於「表現拙劣」。
以下是特首林鄭月娥及各局長民望級別總表：
| 「表現理想」：支持率超過66%者，以支持率排名[6]，即括弧內數字 |
| 沒有官員 |
| 「表現成功」：支持率超過50%者，以支持率排名[6]，即括弧內數字 |
| 沒有官員 |
| 「表現一般」：非其他五類者，以支持率排名[6]，即括弧內數字 |
| 保安局局長鄧炳強（44%）
商務及經濟發展局局長邱騰華（30%） 環境局局長黃錦星（29%） 勞工及福利局局長羅致光（27%） 公務員事務局局長聶德權（25%） 食物及衛生局局長陳肇始（25%） 運輸及房屋局局長陳帆（22%） 教育局局長楊潤雄（22%） |
| 「表現不彰」：認知率不足50%者，以支持率排名[6]，括弧內第一數字為支持率，第二數字為認知率 |
| 政制及內地事務局局長曾國衞（25%，49%）
財經事務及庫務局局長許正宇（21%，36%） 發展局局長黃偉綸（19%，40%） 創新及科技局局長薛永恒（18%，43%） |
| 「表現失敗」：反對率超過50%者，以反對率排名[6]，即括弧內數字 |
| 沒有官員 |
| 「表現拙劣」：反對率超過66%者，以反對率排名[6]，即括弧內數字 |
| 特首林鄭月娥（77%） |
- 如四捨五入後的數字相同，則會再考慮小數點後的數字。
民意日誌
香港民研於2007年開始與慧科訊業有限公司合作，由慧科訊業按照香港民研設計的分析方法，將每日大事紀錄傳送至香港民研，經香港民研核實後成為「民意日誌」。
由於本新聞公報所涉及的部分調查項目，上次調查日期為7-11/3/2022，而今次調查日期則為31/5-5/6/2022，因此是次公報中的「民意日誌」項目便以上述日期為依歸，讓讀者作出比較。以涵蓋率不下25%本地報章每日頭條新聞和報社評論計，在上述期間發生的相關大事包括以下事件，讀者可以自行判斷有關事件有否影響各項民調數字：
| 31/5/22 | 林鄭月娥指六月難再放寬防疫措施 |
| 21/5/22 | 政府公佈合資格人士可接種第4劑新冠疫苗，並將於6月13日起擴大疫苗通行證適用範圍 |
| 18/5/22 | 政府公佈薪酬趨勢調查報告 |
| 9/5/22 | 李家超與林鄭月娥會面討論交接及政府架構事宜 |
| 3/5/22 | 香港5月19日起第二階段放寬社交距離措施 |
| 22/4/22 | 政府宣佈5月起放寬部分入境措施 |
| 14/4/22 | 政府公佈從4月21日起分階段放寬社交距離措施 |
| 7/4/22 | 政府宣佈修訂新一輪保就業計劃 |
| 4/4/22 | 林鄭月娥宣佈不參選下一屆特首 |
| 3/4/22 | 新一輪電子消費券首期將於4月7日發放 |
| 2/4/22 | 政府宣佈於4月8日起一連3日推行全民自願快速檢測 |
| 31/3/22 | 政府於4月2日起向全港家庭派發防疫服務包 |
| 30/3/22 | 林鄭月娥承認防疫措施致使人才流失，承諾捍衛香港的國際地位 |
| 23/3/22 | 林鄭月娥強調未放棄全民強檢，並將爭取與內地通關 |
| 21/3/22 | 政府宣佈暫緩全民強檢 |
| 20/3/22 | 政府將提前施行「疫苗通行證」第三階段 |
| 18/3/22 | 政府宣佈推出新一輪保就業計劃 |
| 17/3/22 | 林鄭月娥指將調整各項防疫措施 |
| 9/3/22 | 林鄭月娥公佈新抗疫措施 |
| 7/3/22 | 政府推出快速檢測陽性呈報平台 |
補充資料
「一國兩制25周年中期民情總結」：末任港督及歷任特首民望
下次新聞公報／發佈會 (暫定)
- [新聞公報] 6月10日（星期五）下午二時三十分
限聚指數最新數字 - [新聞公報] 6月14日（星期二）下午二時三十分
六四事件民情總結 - [發佈會] 6月17日（星期五）下午二時三十分
我們香港人之青年事務調查
客席評論：黃偉國
June 7, 2022
Hong Kong Public Opinion Research Institute Press Conference – Press Materials
Press Conference Live
Speakers:
Johnny Lau - Current affairs commentator
Leung Po Lam - President, Hong Kong Social Security Society
Special Announcements
The predecessor of Hong Kong Public Opinion Research Institute (PORI) was The Public Opinion Programme at The University of Hong Kong (HKUPOP). “PORI” in this release can refer to Hong Kong Public Opinion Research Institute or its predecessor HKUPOP.
PORI reviews and adjusts its work once every six months. Some changes have already been started after May 4 (i.e., PORI’s 3rd Anniversary), including reducing the frequency of press conferences and developing online civic education. Today, we officially kickstart the “One Country Two Systems 25-year Mid-term Review”. The first phase of the review will take two months, in different forms of releases each week. We will start with the popularity of officials this week, then June Fourth wrap-up, followed by ethnic identity and then handover anniversaries. Details to be announced. Starting from July, we plan to reduce the frequency of our tracking surveys from twice a month to once a month, in order to conserve resources for civic education and mid-term review. Meanwhile, PORI would also like to stress the separation of comments from figures, so that the responsibility of all personal comments arising from our scientific research lies entirely on the commentators concerned, not PORI.
Abstract
PORI successfully interviewed 1,000 Hong Kong residents by a random telephone survey conducted by real interviewers from late May to early June. Our latest survey shows that the popularity rating of CE Carrie Lam is 36.0 marks, with 27% of respondents giving her 0 mark. Her net approval rate is negative 60 percentage points. Both her rating and net approval rate have not changed much from a month ago. As for the Directors of Bureaux, Secretary for Home Affairs Caspar Tsui has left the post and 5 out of the remaining 12 Directors have got positive net approval rates. They are Chris Tang, Wong Kam-sing, Edward Yau, Christopher Hui and Erick Tsang. Compared to around three months ago, the net approval rates of 8 Directors have gone up, 2 have gone down, while 2 remain unchanged. Among them, the net approval rates of Chris Tang and Sophia Chan have increased significantly by 11 and 23 percentage points respectively. Meanwhile, the net approval rate of Erick Tsang has registered a new high since he took office in May 2020 and that of Kevin Yeung has registered a new high since August 2019. The maximum sampling error of percentages is +/-4%, that of net values is +/-8% and that of ratings is +/-1.9 at 95% confidence level.
Contact Information
| Date of survey | : | 31/5-5/6/2022 |
| Survey method | : | Random telephone survey conducted by real interviewers |
| Target population | : | Cantonese-speaking Hong Kong residents aged 18 or above |
| Sample size[1] | : | 1,000 (including 500 landline and 500 mobile samples) |
| Effective response rate | : | TBC |
| Sampling error[2] | : | Sampling error of percentages not more than +/-4%, that of net values not more than +/-8% and that of ratings not more than +/-1.9 at 95% conf. level |
| Weighting method | : | Rim-weighted according to figures provided by the Census and Statistics Department. The gender-age distribution of the Hong Kong population came from “Mid-year population for 2021”, while the educational attainment (highest level attended) distribution and economic activity status distribution came from “Women and Men in Hong Kong - Key Statistics (2021 Edition)”. |
- This figure is the total sample size of the survey. Some questions may only involve a subsample, the size of which can be found in the tables below.
- All error figures in this release are calculated at 95% confidence level. “95% confidence level” means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times with different random samples, we would expect 95 times having the population parameter within the respective error margins calculated. Because of sampling errors, when quoting percentages, journalists should refrain from reporting decimal places, whereas one decimal place can be used when quoting rating figures.
Latest Figures
Recent popularity figures of CE Carrie Lam are summarized as follows:
| Date of survey | 3-6/1/22 | 7-10/2/22 | 7-11/3/22 | 4-7/4/22 | 30-4-6/5/22 | 31/5-5/6/22 | Latest change |
| Sample size | 1,021 | 1,012 | 1,000 | 1,014 | 1,000 | 1,000 | -- |
| Response rate | 52.7% | 58.1% | 51.5% | 49.8% | 41.5% | TBC | -- |
| Latest findings | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding & error | -- |
| Rating of CE Carrie Lam | 33.8 | 31.9 | 26.6[3] | 33.4[3] | 34.7 | 36.0+/-1.9 | +1.4 |
| Vote of confidence in CE Carrie Lam |
19% | 18% | 12%[3] | 13% | 14% | 17+/-2% | +3% |
| Vote of no confidence in CE Carrie Lam |
67% | 70% | 78%[3] | 78% | 78% | 77+/-3% | -- |
| Net approval rate | -48% | -53% | -67%[3] | -65% | -64% | -60+/-5% | +3% |
- The difference between the figure and the result from the previous survey has gone beyond the sampling error at 95% confidence level, meaning that the change is statistically significant prima facie. However, whether the difference is statistically significant is not the same as whether they are practically useful or meaningful, and different weighting methods could have been applied in different surveys.
Latest popularity figures of Directors of Bureaux sorted by net approval rates[4] are summarized below:
| Date of survey | 6-10/9/21 | 29/11-3/12/21 | 7-11/3/22 | 31/5-5/6/22 | Latest change |
| Sample size | 604-631 | 601-636 | 575-596 | 569-599 | -- |
| Response rate | 44.2% | 44.9% | 51.5% | TBC | -- |
| Latest findings | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding and error | -- |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Security Chris Tang | 43% | 40% | 38% | 44+/-4% | +6%[5] |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Security Chris Tang | 40% | 39% | 39% | 34+/-4% | -5% |
| Net approval rate | 2% | 1% | -1% | 10+/-8% | +11%[5] |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for the Environment Wong Kam-sing | 33% | 27%[5] | 28% | 29+/-4% | +1% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for the Environment Wong Kam-sing | 18% | 26%[5] | 21% | 22+/-3% | +1% |
| Net approval rate | 14% | 1%[5] | 7% | 7+/-6% | -- |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Commerce and Economic Development Edward Yau | 33% | 27%[5] | 25% | 30+/-4% | +5% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Commerce and Economic Development Edward Yau | 27% | 31% | 25%[5] | 24+/-4% | -1% |
| Net approval rate | 6% | -3%[5] | <1% | 6+/-6% | +6% |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury Christopher Hui | 22% | 17%[5] | 17% | 21+/-3% | +4% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury Christopher Hui | 16% | 22%[5] | 15%[5] | 15+/-3% | -- |
| Net approval rate | 7% | -5%[5] | 2%[5] | 5+/-5% | +3% |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Constitutional and Mainland Affairs Erick Tsang | 25% | 27% | 23% | 25+/-4% | +2% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Constitutional and Mainland Affairs Erick Tsang | 27% | 34%[5] | 27%[5] | 24+/-4% | -3% |
| Net approval rate | -2% | -7% | -4% | 1+/-6% | +5% |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for the Civil Service Patrick Nip | 30% | 31% | 27% | 25+/-4% | -2% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for the Civil Service Patrick Nip | 27% | 29% | 26% | 26+/-4% | -- |
| Net approval rate | 3% | 2% | 1% | -1+/-6% | -2% |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Development Michael Wong | 22% | 19% | 18% | 19+/-3% | -- |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Development Michael Wong | 17% | 23%[5] | 22% | 22+/-3% | -1% |
| Net approval rate | 5% | -4%[5] | -4% | -3+/-5% | +1% |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Innovation and Technology Alfred Sit | 27% | 23% | 20% | 18+/-3% | -2% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Innovation and Technology Alfred Sit | 20% | 23% | 24% | 25+/-4% | +1% |
| Net approval rate | 7% | -<1% | -5% | -8+/-5% | -3% |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Labour and Welfare Law Chi-kwong | 32% | 25%[5] | 23% | 27+/-4% | +5% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Labour and Welfare Law Chi-kwong | 24%[7] | 37%[5] | 38% | 35+/-4% | -2% |
| Net approval rate | 8% | -12%[5] | -15% | -8+/-7% | +7% |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Transport and Housing Frank Chan | 29% | 22%[5] | 22% | 22+/-4% | -- |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Transport and Housing Frank Chan | 23%[7] | 31%[5] | 32% | 32+/-4% | -- |
| Net approval rate | 5%[7] | -9%[5] | -10% | -10+/-6% | -- |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Food and Health Sophia Chan | 25% | 24% | 16%[5] | 25+/-4% | +9%[5] |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Food and Health Sophia Chan | 38% | 40% | 58%[5] | 43+/-4% | -14%[5] |
| Net approval rate | -13% | -16% | -42%[5] | -19+/-7% | +23%[5] |
| Vote of confidence in Secretary for Education Kevin Yeung | 21% | 17%[5] | 17% | 22+/-3% | +4% |
| Vote of no confidence in Secretary for Education Kevin Yeung | 48% | 48% | 47% | 46+/-4% | -1% |
| Net approval rate | -27% | -31% | -29% | -24+/-7% | +5% |
- If the rounded figures are the same, numbers after the decimal point will be considered.
- The difference between the figure and the result from the previous survey has gone beyond the sampling error at 95% confidence level, meaning that the change is statistically significant prima facie. However, whether the difference is statistically significant is not the same as whether they are practically useful or meaningful, and different weighting methods could have been applied in different surveys.
Our latest survey shows that the popularity rating of CE Carrie Lam is 36.0 marks, with 27% of respondents giving her 0 mark. Her approval rate is 17%, disapproval rate 77%, giving a net popularity of negative 60 percentage points. Both her rating and net approval rate have not changed much from a month ago.
As for the Directors of Bureaux, Secretary for Home Affairs Caspar Tsui has left the post and 5 out of the remaining 12 Directors have got positive net approval rates, ranked from high to low are Secretary for Security Chris Tang, Secretary for the Environment Wong Kam-sing, Secretary for Commerce and Economic Development Edward Yau, Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury Christopher Hui and Secretary for Constitutional and Mainland Affairs Erick Tsang. The 6th to 12th positions who have got negative net approval rates go to Secretary for the Civil Service Patrick Nip, Secretary for Development Michael Wong, Secretary for Innovation and Technology Alfred Sit, Secretary for Labour and Welfare Law Chi-kwong, Secretary for Transport and Housing Frank Chan, Secretary for Food and Health Sophia Chan and Secretary for Education Kevin Yeung. Compared to around three months ago, the net approval rates of 8 Directors have gone up, 2 have gone down, while 2 remain unchanged. Among them, the net approval rates of Chris Tang and Sophia Chan have increased significantly by 11 and 23 percentage points respectively. Meanwhile, the net approval rate of Erick Tsang has registered a new high since he took office in May 2020 and that of Kevin Yeung has registered a new high since August 2019.
According to PORI’s standard, no one falls under the category of “ideal” or “successful” performer. The performance of Chris Tang, Edward Yau, Wong Kam-sing, Law Chi-kwong, Patrick Nip, Sophia Chan, Frank Chan and Kevin Yeung can be labeled as “mediocre”. That of Erick Tsang, Christopher Hui, Michael Wong and Alfred Sit can be labeled as “inconspicuous”. No one falls into the category of “depressing” performer, while Carrie Lam falls into that of “disastrous”.
The following table summarizes the grading of CE Carrie Lam and Directors of Bureaux:
| “Ideal”: those with approval rates of over 66%; ranked by their approval rates shown inside brackets[6] |
| Nil |
| “Successful”: those with approval rates of over 50%; ranked by their approval rates shown inside brackets[6] |
| Nil |
| “Mediocre”: those not belonging to other 5 types; ranked by their approval rates shown inside brackets[6] |
| Secretary for Security Chris Tang (44%)
Secretary for Commerce and Economic Development Edward Yau (30%) Secretary for the Environment Wong Kam-sing (29%) Secretary for Labour and Welfare Law Chi-kwong (27%) Secretary for the Civil Service Patrick Nip (25%) Secretary for Food and Health Sophia Chan (25%) Secretary for Transport and Housing Frank Chan (22%) Secretary for Education Kevin Yeung (22%) |
| “Inconspicuous”: those with recognition rates of less than 50%; ranked by their approval rates[6]; the first figure inside bracket is approval rate while the second figure is recognition rate |
| Secretary for Constitutional and Mainland Affairs Erick Tsang (25%, 49%)
Secretary for Financial Services and the Treasury Christopher Hui (21%, 36%) Secretary for Development Michael Wong (19%, 40%) Secretary for Innovation and Technology Alfred Sit (18%, 43%) |
| “Depressing”: those with disapproval rates of over 50%; ranked by their disapproval rates shown inside brackets[6] |
| Nil |
| “Disastrous”: those with disapproval rates of over 66%; ranked by their disapproval rates shown inside brackets[6] |
| CE Carrie Lam (77%) |
- If the rounded figures are the same, numbers after the decimal point will be considered.
Opinion Daily
In 2007, PORI started collaborating with Wisers Information Limited whereby Wisers supplies to PORI a record of significant events of that day according to the research method designed by PORI. These daily entries would then become “Opinion Daily” after they are verified by PORI.
For some of the polling items covered in this press release, the previous survey was conducted from 7 to 11 March, 2022 while this survey was conducted from 31 May to 6 June, 2022. During this period, herewith the significant events selected from counting newspaper headlines and commentaries on a daily basis and covered by at least 25% of the local newspaper articles. Readers can make their own judgment if these significant events have any impacts to different polling figures.
| 31/5/22 | Carrie Lam says Hong Kong will unlikely relax epidemic control measures in June. |
| 21/5/22 | The government announces that eligible people can receive the fourth dose of COVID-19 vaccine and the Vaccine Pass coverage will be expanded starting June 13. |
| 18/5/22 | The government releases the 2022 Pay Trend Survey Report. |
| 9/5/22 | John Lee meets Carrie Lam to discuss transitional arrangements and the preparatory works of re-organising government structure. |
| 3/5/22 | Hong Kong further relaxes social distancing measures on May 19. |
| 22/4/22 | The government announces the relaxation of some inbound control measures starting May. |
| 14/4/22 | The government begins to relax social distancing measures from April 21. |
| 7/4/22 | The government announces the amendment of the new round of Employment Support Scheme. |
| 4/4/22 | Carrie Lam announces that she will not contest the election for the new-term Chief Executive. |
| 3/4/22 | The first batch of the new round of electronic consumption vouchers will be distributed on April 7. |
| 2/4/22 | The government announces universal voluntary testing for three days in a row starting from April 8. |
| 31/3/22 | The government will start distributing anti-epidemic service bags to all Hong Kong households from April 2. |
| 30/3/22 | Carrie Lam concedes anti-pandemic measures contributed to brain drain, but vows to defend Hong Kong’s international status. |
| 23/3/22 | Carrie Lam stresses that the compulsory universal testing scheme has not been given up, and will strive for border reopening with mainland China. |
| 21/3/22 | The government announces the suspension of the compulsory universal testing scheme. |
| 20/3/22 | The government will advance the implementation of stage three Vaccine Pass. |
| 18/3/22 | The government announces a new round of Employment Support Scheme. |
| 17/3/22 | Carrie Lam says the government will adjust anti-epidemic measures soon. |
| 9/3/22 | Carrie Lam announces new measures to fight the epidemic. |
| 7/3/22 | The government launches the “Declaration System for individuals tested positive for COVID-19 using Rapid Antigen Test”. |
Additional Information
“One Country Two Systems 25-year Mid-term Review”: Popularity of the Last Governor and All Chief Executives
Upcoming Press Releases / Press Conference (Tentative)
- [Press Release] June 10 (Friday) at 14:30
Latest Group Gathering Prohibition Index - [Press Release] June 14 (Tuesday) at 14:30
Wrap Up on June Fourth Incident Sentiment - [Press Conference] June 17 (Friday) at 14:30
We Hongkongers: Youth matters survey
Guest commentator: Benson Wong
