2021年11月15日香港民意研究所發佈會 – 傳媒參考資料
發佈會直播
講者:
鍾劍華 - 香港民意研究所副行政總裁
鍾威麟 - 資深社會工作者
戴捷輝 - 香港民意研究所經理 (數據科學)
鍾庭耀 - 香港民意研究所主席及行政總裁 ---- 公佈選舉調查安排
特別宣佈
香港民意研究計劃(香港民研)前身為香港大學民意研究計劃(港大民研)。公報內的「民研計劃」指的可以是香港民研或其前身港大民研。
為配合香港社會環境的最新發展,民研計劃由2021年10月開始新增兩項全新的定期調查,分別為(一)社會政策滿意程度及(二)社會幸福指標。首次社會政策滿意程度調查的結果早前已經公佈,而今天則公佈社會幸福指標調查結果。
公報簡要
民研計劃於十月底至十一月初由真實訪問員以隨機抽樣電話訪問方式成功訪問了1,004名香港居民。調查顯示,在十個指定範疇中,市民對於人身安全的評分最高,以0至10分評價,評分為6.06分。另外,市民亦偏向認為香港人享有個人自由和有合適就業機會,評分分別為5.56和5.51分。其餘社會幸福指標則錄得低於5分,顯示市民的評價偏向負面。以下五項指標介乎4.20至4.85分,反映市民認為香港人未能免於恐懼,弱勢社群得不到足夠保障,兒童成長不太快樂,司法程序不太公正,香港人未能安居。最後兩項指標更錄得低於4分,分別只有3.97和3.80分,即認為香港人並非生活無憂無慮,亦缺失頗多政治權利。調查的實效回應比率為50.1%。在95%置信水平下,調查的評分誤差不超過+/-0.27。
樣本資料
調查日期 | : | 29/10-3/11/2021 |
調查方法 | : | 由真實訪問員進行隨機抽樣電話訪問 |
訪問對象 | : | 18歲或以上操粵語的香港居民 |
成功樣本數目[1] | : | 1,004 (包括503個固網及501個手機樣本) |
實效回應比率 | : | 50.1% |
抽樣誤差[2] | : | 在95%置信水平下,評分誤差不超過+/-0.27 |
加權方法 | : | 按照政府統計處提供的統計數字以「反覆多重加權法」作出調整。全港人口年齡及性別分佈統計數字來自《二零二零年年中人口數字》,而教育程度(最高就讀程度)及經濟活動身分統計數字則來自《香港的女性及男性 - 主要統計數字》(2020年版)。 |
[1] 數字為調查的總樣本數目,個別題目則可能只涉及次樣本。有關數字請參閱下列數表內列出的樣本數目。
[2] 此公報中所有誤差數字均以95%置信水平計算。95%置信水平,是指倘若以不同隨機樣本重複進行有關調查100次,則95次各自計算出的誤差範圍會包含人口真實數字。由於調查數字涉及抽樣誤差,傳媒引用百分比數字時,應避免使用小數點,在引用評分數字時,則可以使用一個小數點。
最新數據
以下是十項社會幸福指標的最新數字:
調查日期 | 29/10-3/11/21 |
樣本數目 | 596-609 |
回應比率 | 50.1% |
最新結果 | 結果及誤差 |
人身安全 | 6.06+/-0.24 |
享有個人自由 | 5.56+/-0.24 |
有合適就業機會 | 5.51+/-0.18 |
免於恐懼 | 4.85+/-0.26 |
弱勢社群得到保障 | 4.78+/-0.22 |
兒童快樂成長 | 4.76+/-0.21 |
司法程序公正 | 4.53+/-0.25 |
安居 | 4.20+/-0.22 |
生活無憂無慮 | 3.97+/-0.22 |
享有政治權利 | 3.80+/-0.27 |
社會幸福指標調查顯示,在十個指定範疇中,市民對於人身安全的評分最高,以0至10分評價,評分為6.06分。另外,市民亦偏向認為香港人享有個人自由和有合適就業機會,評分分別為5.56和5.51分。其餘社會幸福指標則錄得低於5分,顯示市民的評價偏向負面。以下五項指標介乎4.20至4.85分,反映市民認為香港人未能免於恐懼,弱勢社群得不到足夠保障,兒童成長不太快樂,司法程序不太公正,香港人未能安居。最後兩項指標更錄得低於4分,分別只有3.97和3.80分,即認為香港人並非生活無憂無慮,亦缺失頗多政治權利。
Nov 15,2021
Hong Kong Public Opinion Research Institute Press Conference – Press Materials
Press Conference Live
Speakers:
Kim-Wah Chung - Deputy CEO, HKPORI
Adino Chung - Senior Social Worker
Edward Tai - Manager (Data Science), HKPORI
Robert Chung - President and CEO, HKPORI – On election survey planning
Special Announcements
The predecessor of Hong Kong Public Opinion Program (HKPOP) was The Public Opinion Programme at The University of Hong Kong (HKUPOP). “POP” in this release can refer to HKPOP or its predecessor HKUPOP.
To cope with the latest development of Hong Kong’s social environment, POP has launched two new regular tracking polls from October 2021, namely (1) Appraisal of Social Policies and (2) Social Well-being Indicators. The results of the first appraisal of social policies survey have been released earlier. Today POP releases the results of the social well-being indicators survey.
Abstract
POP successfully interviewed 1,004 Hong Kong residents by a random telephone survey conducted by real interviewers from late October to early November. Our survey shows that among the ten specific domains, people rated personal safety the highest. On a scale of 0 to 10, the rating stands at 6.06. Also, people tended to think that Hong Kong people can enjoy personal freedom and have opportunities for suitable employment, attaining a rating of 5.56 and 5.51 respectively. However, the rest of the social well-being indicators score lower than 5, representing people’s relative negative appraisals towards them. The ratings of the following five indicators range from 4.20 to 4.85, which means they tended to think Hong Kong people are not free from fear, disadvantaged groups are not adequately protected, children are not so happy in their childhood, judicial proceedings are not so fair and just, and that it is hard for Hong Kong people to “live in peace”. The last two indicators even score lower than 4, standing at 3.97 and 3.80 respectively, meaning they felt there are quite some worries in Hong Kong people’s lives, and quite some political rights are missing. The effective response rate of the survey is 50.1%. The maximum sampling error of ratings is +/-0.27 at 95% confidence level.
Contact Information
Date of survey | : | 29/10-3/11/2021 |
Survey method | : | Random telephone survey conducted by real interviewers |
Target population | : | Cantonese-speaking Hong Kong residents aged 18 or above |
Sample size[1] | : | 1,004 (including 503 landline and 501 mobile samples) |
Effective response rate | : | 50.1% |
Sampling error[2] | : | Sampling error of ratings not more than +/-0.27 at 95% conf. level |
Weighting method | : | Rim-weighted according to figures provided by the Census and Statistics Department. The gender-age distribution of the Hong Kong population came from “Mid-year population for 2020”, while the educational attainment (highest level attended) distribution and economic activity status distribution came from “Women and Men in Hong Kong - Key Statistics (2020 Edition)”. |
[1] This figure is the total sample size of the survey. Some questions may only involve a subsample, the size of which can be found in the tables below.
[2] All error figures in this release are calculated at 95% confidence level. “95% confidence level” means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times with different random samples, we would expect 95 times having the population parameter within the respective error margins calculated. Because of sampling errors, when quoting percentages, journalists should refrain from reporting decimal places, whereas one decimal place can be used when quoting rating figures.
Latest Figures
The latest figures of the ten social well-being indicators are summarized as follows:
Date of survey | 29/10-3/11/21 |
Sample size | 596-609 |
Response rate | 50.1% |
Latest findings | Finding & error |
Personal safety | 6.06+/-0.24 |
Personal freedom | 5.56+/-0.24 |
Opportunities for suitable employment | 5.51+/-0.18 |
Freedom from fear | 4.85+/-0.26 |
Protection of disadvantaged groups | 4.78+/-0.22 |
Happiness of children | 4.76+/-0.21 |
Fairness and justice in judicial proceedings | 4.53+/-0.25 |
Housing well-being (“living in peace”) | 4.20+/-0.22 |
Living without worries | 3.97+/-0.22 |
Political rights | 3.80+/-0.27 |
Our social well-being survey shows that, among the ten specific domains, people rated personal safety the highest. On a scale of 0 to 10, the rating stands at 6.06. Also, people tended to think that Hong Kong people can enjoy personal freedom and have opportunities for suitable employment, attaining a rating of 5.56 and 5.51 respectively. However, the rest of the social well-being indicators score lower than 5, representing people’s relative negative appraisals towards them. The ratings of the following five indicators range from 4.20 to 4.85, which means they tended to think Hong Kong people are not free from fear, disadvantaged groups are not adequately protected, children are not so happy in their childhood, judicial proceedings are not so fair and just, and that it is hard for Hong Kong people to “live in peace”. The last two indicators even score lower than 4, standing at 3.97 and 3.80 respectively, meaning they felt there are quite some worries in Hong Kong people’s lives, and quite some political rights are missing.