2021年2月23日
香港民意研究所發佈會 – 傳媒參考資料
發佈會回顧
民研計劃發放社會及自由指標
特別宣佈
香港民意研究計劃（香港民研）前身為香港大學民意研究計劃（港大民研）。公報內的「民研計劃」指的可以是香港民研或其前身港大民研。
公報簡要
民研計劃於二月初由真實訪問員以隨機抽樣電話訪問方式成功訪問了1,018名香港居民。調查顯示，以0至10分評價，市民對五項核心社會指標的評分由高至低分別是「自由」、「安定」、「繁榮」、「法治」和「民主」，得分分別為5.02、4.99、4.96、4.50和4.27分。相比一個月前，所有指標皆錄得顯著升幅。七項非核心指標中，「廉潔」、「平等」和「公平」的得分相對較低，相比上次調查，「治安」指標錄得顯著升幅，而「社會福利」、「效率」和「平等」指標則同創1997年有記錄以來新低。十項自由次指標中，「學術研究自由」、「言論自由」、「出版自由」、「新聞自由」、「罷工自由」、「結社自由」和「遊行示威自由」全部得分低於5分。相比上次調查，「出入境自由」錄得顯著跌幅，而「出入境自由」、「學術研究自由」和「結社自由」則創1997年有記錄以來新低。法治方面，「法庭公正程度」和「司法制度公平程度」繼續低於5分。終審法院首席法官張舉能上任後首次的支持度評分為42.5分，與馬道立卸任前的數字相比錄得顯著跌幅，並創2001年有記錄以來新低。調查的實效回應比率為62.9%。在95%置信水平下，調查的評分誤差不超過+/-2.9。
樣本資料
| 調查日期 | ： | 2-5/2/2021 |
| 調查方法 | ： | 由真實訪問員進行隨機抽樣電話訪問 |
| 訪問對象 | ： | 18歲或以上操粵語的香港居民 |
| 成功樣本數目[1] | ： | 1,018 (包括514個固網及504個手機樣本) |
| 實效回應比率 | ： | 62.9% |
| 抽樣誤差[2] | ： | 在95%置信水平下，評分誤差不超過+/-2.9 |
| 加權方法 | ： | 按照政府統計處提供的統計數字以「反覆多重加權法」作出調整。全港人口年齡及性別分佈統計數字來自《二零一九年年中人口數字》，而教育程度（最高就讀程度）及經濟活動身分統計數字則來自《香港的女性及男性 - 主要統計數字》（2019年版）。 |
[1]數字為調查的總樣本數目，個別題目則可能只涉及次樣本。有關數字請參閱下列數表內列出的樣本數目。
[2]此公報中所有誤差數字均以95%置信水平計算。95%置信水平，是指倘若以不同隨機樣本重複進行有關調查100次，則95次各自計算出的誤差範圍會包含人口真實數字。由於調查數字涉及抽樣誤差，傳媒引用百分比數字時，應避免使用小數點，在引用評分數字時，則可以使用一個小數點。
最新數據
以下是五項核心社會指標的最新數字：
| 調查日期 | 19-22/10/20 | 9-13/11/20 | 7-10/12/20 | 4-8/1/21 | 2-5/2/21 | 最新變化 |
| 樣本數目 | 575-632 | 579-634 | 602-609 | 594-604 | 650-657 | -- |
| 回應比率 | 62.2% | 63.9% | 70.0% | 58.5% | 62.9% | -- |
| 最新結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果及誤差 | -- |
| 自由指標 | 4.60[3] | 4.60 | 4.68 | 4.45 | 5.02+/-0.25 | +0.57[3] |
| 安定指標 | 4.15[3] | 4.15 | 4.17 | 4.04 | 4.99+/-0.22 | +0.94[3] |
| 繁榮指標 | 4.30 | 4.57[3] | 4.11[3] | 4.09 | 4.96+/-0.19 | +0.87[3] |
| 法治指標 | 3.82[3] | 4.05 | 4.01 | 3.80 | 4.50+/-0.24 | +0.70[3] |
| 民主指標 | 3.61 | 3.74 | 3.85 | 3.56 | 4.27+/-0.27 | +0.71[3] |
[3]該數字與上次調查結果的差異超過在95%置信水平的抽樣誤差，表示有關變化在統計學上表面成立。不過，變化在統計學上成立與否，並不等同有關變化是否有實際用途或意義，而不同調查的加權方法亦可能有所不同。
以下是七項非核心社會指標的最新數字：
| 調查日期 | 6-9/5/19 | 16-19/9/19 | 14-17/4/20 | 6-9/7/20 | 2-5/2/21 | 最新變化 |
| 樣本數目[4] | 526-642 | 587-716 | 627-663 | 616-665 | 650-656 | -- |
| 回應比率 | 63.2% | 69.5% | 64.5% | 52.4% | 62.9% | -- |
| 最新結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果及誤差 | -- |
| 治安指標 | 7.02[5] | 4.55[5] | 5.13[5] | 5.14 | 5.70+/-0.21 | +0.56[5] |
| 文明指標 | 6.78 | 5.68[5] | 6.00[5] | 5.42[5] | 5.58+/-0.21 | +0.16 |
| 社會福利指標 | 5.79[5] | 5.55 | 5.56 | 5.63 | 5.43+/-0.21 | -0.20 |
| 效率指標 | 6.36[5] | 5.88[5] | 5.25[5] | 5.34 | 5.08+/-0.21 | -0.26 |
| 廉潔指標 | 6.43 | 5.12[5] | 4.98 | 4.98 | 5.00+/-0.22 | +0.02 |
| 平等指標 | 5.69 | 4.71[5] | 4.87 | 4.62 | 4.50+/-0.22 | -0.13 |
| 公平指標 | 5.47[5] | 4.20[5] | 4.79[5] | 4.15[5] | 4.23+/-0.23 | +0.08 |
[4]民研計劃在2020年3月前彙報的次樣本數目為加權數字，2020年3月開始則以原始數字彙報。
[5]該數字與上次調查結果的差異超過在95%置信水平的抽樣誤差，表示有關變化在統計學上表面成立。不過，變化在統計學上成立與否，並不等同有關變化是否有實際用途或意義，而不同調查的加權方法亦可能有所不同。
以下是十項自由次指標的最新數字：
| 調查日期 | 6-9/5/19 | 16-19/9/19 | 14-17/4/20 | 6-9/7/20 | 2-5/2/21 | 最新變化 |
| 樣本數目[6] | 525-651 | 609-700 | 579-643 | 583-664 | 605-656 | -- |
| 回應比率 | 63.2% | 69.5% | 64.5% | 52.4% | 62.9% | -- |
| 最新結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果及誤差 | -- |
| 自由指標 (重複顯示) | 6.60 | 6.00[7] | 5.58[7] | 4.84[7] | 5.02+/-0.25 | +0.18 |
| 信仰自由 | 8.12[7] | 7.79[7] | 7.24[7] | 6.71[7] | 6.76+/-0.23 | +0.05 |
| 出入境自由 | 7.77[7] | 7.14[7] | 7.02 | 6.50[7] | 6.08+/-0.26 | -0.42[7] |
| 文藝創作自由 | 6.93 | 6.54[7] | 5.63[7] | 4.96[7] | 5.21+/-0.28 | +0.25 |
| 學術研究自由 | 6.78 | 6.46[7] | 5.59[7] | 4.98[7] | 4.88+/-0.28 | -0.10 |
| 言論自由 | 6.20[7] | 5.85[7] | 5.24[7] | 4.39[7] | 4.63+/-0.29 | +0.24 |
| 出版自由 | 5.76[7] | 5.81 | 5.10[7] | 4.40[7] | 4.57+/-0.27 | +0.16 |
| 新聞自由 | 5.81[7] | 5.72 | 4.94[7] | 4.27[7] | 4.38+/-0.28 | +0.11 |
| 罷工自由 | 5.86[7] | 5.04[7] | 4.67[7] | 4.08[7] | 4.34+/-0.28 | +0.26 |
| 結社自由 | 5.38[7] | 5.13 | 4.88 | 4.35[7] | 4.17+/-0.30 | -0.17 |
| 遊行示威自由 | 6.15[7] | 4.68[7] | 4.13[7] | 3.31[7] | 3.31+/-0.29 | -- |
[6]民研計劃在2020年3月前彙報的次樣本數目為加權數字，2020年3月開始則以原始數字彙報。
[7]該數字與上次調查結果的差異超過在95%置信水平的抽樣誤差，表示有關變化在統計學上表面成立。不過，變化在統計學上成立與否，並不等同有關變化是否有實際用途或意義，而不同調查的加權方法亦可能有所不同。
以下是兩項法治次指標及終審法院首席法官評分的最新數字：
| 調查日期 | 6-9/5/19 | 16-19/9/19 | 14-17/4/20 | 6-9/7/20 | 2-5/2/21 | 最新變化 |
| 樣本數目[8] | 527-688 | 642-690 | 641-658 | 584-643 | 538-657 | -- |
| 回應比率 | 63.2% | 69.5% | 64.5% | 52.4% | 62.9% | -- |
| 最新結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果 | 結果及誤差 | -- |
| 法治指標 (重複顯示) | 6.20 | 4.41[10] | 4.45 | 4.14 | 4.50+/-0.24 | +0.36[10] |
| 法庭公正程度 | 6.20[10] | 5.52[10] | 4.60[10] | 4.24[10] | 4.42+/-0.21 | +0.17 |
| 司法制度公平程度 | 5.63[10] | 4.37[10] | 4.41 | 4.07[10] | 4.27+/-0.23 | +0.20 |
| 終審法院首席法官 支持度評分[9] |
62.7[10] | 57.1[10] | 57.3 | 57.1 | 42.5+/-2.9 | -14.6[10] |
[8]民研計劃在2020年3月前彙報的次樣本數目為加權數字，2020年3月開始則以原始數字彙報。
[9]2021年1月前終審法院首席法官為馬道立，之後為張舉能。
[10]該數字與上次調查結果的差異超過在95%置信水平的抽樣誤差，表示有關變化在統計學上表面成立。不過，變化在統計學上成立與否，並不等同有關變化是否有實際用途或意義，而不同調查的加權方法亦可能有所不同。
以0至10分評價，市民對五項核心社會指標的評分由高至低分別是「自由」、「安定」、「繁榮」、「法治」和「民主」，得分分別為5.02、4.99、4.96、4.50和4.27分。相比一個月前，所有指標皆錄得顯著升幅。
非核心指標方面，獲較高得分的有「治安」、「文明」、「社會福利」和「效率」，分別得5.70、5.58、5.43和5.08分；「廉潔」、「平等」和「公平」則分別得5.00、4.50和4.23分。相比上次調查，「治安」指標錄得顯著升幅，而「社會福利」、「效率」和「平等」指標則創1997年有記錄以來新低。
自由次指標方面，獲最高分的首三項依次為「信仰自由」、「出入境自由」和「文藝創作自由」，分別得6.76、6.08和5.21分；其次為「學術研究自由」、「言論自由」、「出版自由」、「新聞自由」、「罷工自由」和「結社自由」，分別得4.88、4.63、4.57、4.38、4.34和4.17分；最低分為「遊行示威自由」，只得3.31分。相比上次調查，「出入境自由」錄得顯著跌幅，而「出入境自由」、「學術研究自由」和「結社自由」則創1997年有記錄以來新低。
至於兩項法治次指標，法庭公正程度得4.42分，司法制度公平程度則得4.27分。而終審法院首席法官張舉能的支持度評分，以0至100分評價，則為42.5分，與馬道立卸任前的數字相比錄得顯著跌幅，並創2001年有記錄以來新低。
民意日誌
民研計劃於2007年開始與慧科訊業有限公司合作，由慧科訊業按照民研計劃設計的分析方法，將每日大事記錄傳送至民研計劃，經民研計劃核實後成為「民意日誌」。
由於本新聞公報所涉及的部分調查項目，上次調查日期為6-9/7/2020，而今次調查日期則為2-5/2/2021，因此是次公報中的「民意日誌」項目便以上述日期為依歸，讓讀者作出比較。以涵蓋率不下25%本地報章每日頭條新聞和報社評論計，在上述期間發生的相關大事包括以下事件，讀者可以自行判斷有關事件有否影響各項民調數字：
| 2/2/21 | 政府繼續封鎖多區進行強制檢測，並指或破門而入 |
| 1/2/21 | 政府封鎖多區進行強制檢測，並降低封區門檻 |
| 29/1/21 | 英國政府公布BNO簽證移民詳情；中國及香港政府宣布不再承認BNO護照 |
| 28/1/21 | 政府封鎖北角東發大廈進行強制檢測 |
| 26/1/21 | 政府封鎖碧街附近進行強制檢測 |
| 24/1/21 | 佐敦封鎖區域解封，逾7,000人中找出13宗個案 |
| 23/1/21 | 政府封鎖佐敦指定區域兩日進行強制檢測 |
| 15/1/21 | 政府對油麻地區內20幢大廈居民實施強制檢測 |
| 13/1/21 | 巴西當局公布科興疫苗整體有效率為50.4% |
| 6/1/21 | 警方以涉嫌違反國安法拘捕53名民主派初選相關人士 |
| 5/1/21 | 馬道立指倡議司法機構改革須有細節及理據 |
| 4/1/21 | 政府宣布延長防疫措施，中小學及幼稚園暫停面授課至農曆年假 |
| 2/1/21 | 政府不排除強制市民使用「安心出行」應用程式 |
| 2/1/21 | 政府預料最快可於2月為市民接種疫苗 |
| 31/12/20 | 終審法院受理律政司上訴，黎智英還押候訊 |
| 30/12/20 | 12港人案中十人被判囚七個月至三年，兩名未成年者移交香港 |
| 28/12/20 | 大廈污水驗出新冠病毒，政府實施強制檢測 |
| 25/12/20 | 黎智英獲准保釋，禁離家受訪發文 |
| 23/12/20 | 政府宣布設立疫苗保障基金，並讓市民選擇接種哪款疫苗 |
| 21/12/20 | 英國出現變種新冠病毒，港府禁止英國客機來港 |
| 17/12/20 | 政府推出第四輪防疫抗疫基金 |
| 12/12/20 | 黎智英被加控「勾結外國或境外勢力危害國家安全」罪 |
| 8/12/20 | 政府再收緊防疫措施，新增禁足及強制檢測權力 |
| 3/12/20 | 黎智英被拒保釋，須還押候訊 |
| 2/12/20 | 前香港眾志成員黃之鋒、林朗彥及周庭被判囚7至13.5個月 |
| 30/11/20 | 政府宣布收緊防疫措施，設立熱線舉報違規行為 |
| 26/11/20 | 教育局宣布改革通識教育科 |
| 25/11/20 | 林鄭月娥發表施政報告 |
| 24/11/20 | 政府宣布收緊防疫措施，強制公眾場所展示安心出行二維碼 |
| 21/11/20 | 警方以涉嫌違反國安法資助分裂國家罪拘捕網台主持等3人 |
| 19/11/20 | 高等法院裁定警察不展示個人編號違反人權法 |
| 14/11/20 | 政府宣布收緊防疫措施，推行強制檢測 |
| 11/11/20 | 人大常委取消4名民主派立法會議員資格 |
| 1/11/20 | 警方以涉嫌違反權力及特權法拘捕6名民主派議員 |
| 31/10/20 | 七名8.31暴動案被告被裁定無罪 |
| 21/10/20 | 國泰航空大規模裁員，停運國泰港龍 |
| 12/10/20 | 林鄭月娥押後施政報告 |
| 10/10/20 | 警方以涉嫌協助現被關押深圳的12名港人偷渡拘捕9人 |
| 6/10/20 | 教育局以專業失德為由取消一名小學教師註冊 |
| 1/10/20 | 警方於銅鑼灣等各區拘捕最少86名示威者 |
| 29/9/20 | 民主派公布立法會議員去留問題民意調查結果 |
| 22/9/20 | 警方修改《警察通例》下「傳媒代表」定義 |
| 21/9/20 | 匯豐控股股價創25年新低 |
| 14/9/20 | 178萬人參與普及社區檢測計劃，發現32宗新個案 |
| 12/9/20 | 12名香港青年被扣押深圳逾兩周，被捕人士家屬召開記者會 |
| 11/9/20 | 死因庭陪審團裁定陳彥霖死因存疑 |
| 11/9/20 | 國泰及港龍航空宣布不會申請第二期保就業計劃 |
| 10/9/20 | 警方以在買賣壹傳媒股票時涉嫌詐騙及洗黑錢拘捕15人 |
| 27/8/20 | 中國海警於8月23日截獲赴台快艇，拘捕12名香港青年 |
| 26/8/20 | 警方就7．21事件以暴動罪拘捕13名白衣人以外人士 |
| 19/8/20 | 香港失業率升至6.1% |
| 18/8/20 | 政府公布第二期保就業計劃 |
| 11/8/20 | 人大常委決定現屆立法會繼續履行職責不少於一年 |
| 10/8/20 | 警方引用國安法搜查壹傳媒，並拘捕黎智英及周庭等人 |
| 8/8/20 | 香港政府發表聲明譴責美國制裁11名中港官員 |
| 7/8/20 | 政府宣布推行免費全民自願冠狀病毒檢測 |
| 31/7/20 | 政府押後立法會選舉一年 |
| 30/7/20 | 12名民主派人士被裁定立法會選舉提名無效 |
| 29/7/20 | 全日禁止堂食規定實施，不少人於街邊用膳 |
| 28/7/20 | 香港大學校務委員會決定即時解僱戴耀廷 |
| 27/7/20 | 政府收緊限聚令至2人並宣布全日禁止堂食 |
| 19/7/20 | 政府宣布部分公務員在家工作，市民在室內公共場所必須戴口罩 |
| 15/7/20 | 美國總統特朗普簽署《香港自治法案》 |
| 13/7/20 | 政府收緊限聚令至4人並禁止晚市堂食 |
| 6/7/20 | 政府刊憲公布國安法實施細則 |
數據分析
調查顯示，以0至10分評價，市民對五項核心社會指標的評分由高至低分別是「自由」、「安定」、「繁榮」、「法治」和「民主」，得分分別為5.02、4.99、4.96、4.50和4.27分。相比一個月前，所有指標皆錄得顯著升幅。
七項非核心指標中，「廉潔」、「平等」和「公平」的得分相對較低，相比上次調查，「治安」指標錄得顯著升幅，而「社會福利」、「效率」和「平等」指標則創1997年有記錄以來新低。
十項自由次指標中，「學術研究自由」、「言論自由」、「出版自由」、「新聞自由」、「罷工自由」、「結社自由」和「遊行示威自由」全部得分低於5分。相比上次調查，「出入境自由」錄得顯著跌幅，而「出入境自由」、「學術研究自由」和「結社自由」則創1997年有記錄以來新低。
法治方面，「法庭公正程度」和「司法制度公平程度」繼續低於5分。終審法院首席法官張舉能上任後首次的支持度評分為42.5分，與馬道立卸任前的數字相比錄得顯著跌幅，並創2001年有記錄以來新低。
February 23, 2021
Hong Kong Public Opinion Research Institute Press Conference – Press Materials
Press Conference Live
POP releases Social and Freedom Indicators
Special Announcement
The predecessor of Hong Kong Public Opinion Program (HKPOP) was The Public Opinion Programme at The University of Hong Kong (HKUPOP). “POP” in this release can refer to HKPOP or its predecessor HKUPOP.
Abstract
POP successfully interviewed 1,018 Hong Kong residents by a random telephone survey conducted by real interviewers in early February. Our survey shows that, on a scale of 0 to 10, people’s ratings on the five core social indicators ranked from the highest to the lowest are “freedom”, “stability”, “prosperity”, “rule of law” and “democracy”. Their scores are 5.02, 4.99, 4.96, 4.50 and 4.27 respectively. Compared with a month ago, all social indicators have increased significantly. As for the seven non-core social indicators, ratings of “corruption-free practices”, “equality” and “fairness” are relatively lower. Compared with the last survey, rating of “public order” has increased significantly, while ratings of “social welfare sufficiency”, “efficiency” and “equality” have all registered all-time lows since records began in 1997. As for the ten freedom sub-indicators, freedom of “academic research”, “speech”, “publication”, “press”, “freedom to strike”, “association” and “procession and demonstration” all score lower than 5 marks. Freedom of “entering or leaving Hong Kong” has dropped significantly when compared to the last survey, while freedoms of “entering or leaving Hong Kong”, “academic research” and “association” have registered all-time lows since records began in 1997. In the area of rule of law sub-indicators, both “impartiality of the courts” and “fairness of the judicial system” continue to score below 5 marks. The first-ever support rating of Chief Justice Andrew Cheung Geoffrey Ma after he took office is 42.5, which is significantly lower than the last rating of Geoffrey Ma before he stepped down, also representing an all-time low since record began in 2001. The effective response rate of the survey is 62.9%. The maximum sampling error of ratings is +/-2.9 at 95% confidence level.
Contact Information
| Date of survey | : | 2-5/2/2021 |
| Survey method | : | Random telephone survey conducted by real interviewers |
| Target population | : | Cantonese-speaking Hong Kong residents aged 18 or above |
| Sample size[1] | : | 1,018 (including 514 landline and 504 mobile samples) |
| Effective response rate | : | 62.9% |
| Sampling error[2] | : | Sampling error of ratings not more than +/-2.9 at 95% conf. level |
| Weighting method | : | Rim-weighted according to figures provided by the Census and Statistics Department. The gender-age distribution of the Hong Kong population came from “Mid-year population for 2019”, while the educational attainment (highest level attended) distribution and economic activity status distribution came from “Women and Men in Hong Kong - Key Statistics (2019 Edition)”. |
[1]This figure is the total sample size of the survey. Some questions may only involve a subsample, the size of which can be found in the tables below.
[2]All error figures in this release are calculated at 95% confidence level. “95% confidence level” means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times with different random samples, we would expect 95 times having the population parameter within the respective error margins calculated. Because of sampling errors, when quoting percentages, journalists should refrain from reporting decimal places, whereas one decimal place can be used when quoting rating figures.
Latest Figures
Herewith the latest figures of the five core social indicators:
| Date of survey | 19-22/10/20 | 9-13/11/20 | 7-10/12/20 | 4-8/1/21 | 2-5/2/21 | Latest change |
| Sample size | 575-632 | 579-634 | 602-609 | 594-604 | 650-657 | -- |
| Response rate | 62.2% | 63.9% | 70.0% | 58.5% | 62.9% | -- |
| Latest findings | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding & error | -- |
| Degree of freedom | 4.60[3] | 4.60 | 4.68 | 4.45 | 5.02+/-0.25 | +0.57[3] |
| Degree of stability | 4.15[3] | 4.15 | 4.17 | 4.04 | 4.99+/-0.22 | +0.94[3] |
| Degree of prosperity | 4.30 | 4.57[3] | 4.11[3] | 4.09 | 4.96+/-0.19 | +0.87[3] |
| Compliance with the rule of law | 3.82[3] | 4.05 | 4.01 | 3.80 | 4.50+/-0.24 | +0.70[3] |
| Degree of democracy | 3.61 | 3.74 | 3.85 | 3.56 | 4.27+/-0.27 | +0.71[3] |
[3]The difference between the figure and the result from the previous survey has gone beyond the sampling error at 95% confidence level, meaning that the change is statistically significant prima facie. However, whether the difference is statistically significant is not the same as whether they are practically useful or meaningful, and different weighting methods could have been applied in different surveys.
Herewith the latest figures of the seven non-core social indicators:
| Date of survey | 6-9/5/19 | 16-19/9/19 | 14-17/4/20 | 6-9/7/20 | 2-5/2/21 | Latest change |
| Sample size[4] | 526-642 | 587-716 | 627-663 | 616-665 | 650-656 | -- |
| Response rate | 63.2% | 69.5% | 64.5% | 52.4% | 62.9% | -- |
| Latest findings | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding & error | -- |
| Degree of public order | 7.02[5] | 4.55[5] | 5.13[5] | 5.14 | 5.70+/-0.21 | +0.56[5] |
| Degree of civilization | 6.78 | 5.68[5] | 6.00[5] | 5.42[5] | 5.58+/-0.21 | +0.16 |
| Degree of social welfare sufficiency | 5.79[5] | 5.55 | 5.56 | 5.63 | 5.43+/-0.21 | -0.20 |
| Degree of efficiency | 6.36[5] | 5.88[5] | 5.25[5] | 5.34 | 5.08+/-0.21 | -0.26 |
| Degree of corruption-free practices | 6.43 | 5.12[5] | 4.98 | 4.98 | 5.00+/-0.22 | +0.02 |
| Degree of equality | 5.69 | 4.71[5] | 4.87 | 4.62 | 4.50+/-0.22 | -0.13 |
| Degree of fairness | 5.47[5] | 4.20[5] | 4.79[5] | 4.15[5] | 4.23+/-0.23 | +0.08 |
[4]Before March 2020, weighted count was used to report subsample size. Starting from March 2020, raw count was used instead.
[5]The difference between the figure and the result from the previous survey has gone beyond the sampling error at 95% confidence level, meaning that the change is statistically significant prima facie. However, whether the difference is statistically significant is not the same as whether they are practically useful or meaningful, and different weighting methods could have been applied in different surveys.
Herewith the latest figures of the ten freedom sub-indicators:
| Date of survey | 6-9/5/19 | 16-19/9/19 | 14-17/4/20 | 6-9/7/20 | 2-5/2/21 | Latest change |
| Sample size[6] | 525-651 | 609-700 | 579-643 | 583-664 | 605-656 | -- |
| Response rate | 63.2% | 69.5% | 64.5% | 52.4% | 62.9% | -- |
| Latest findings | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding & error | -- |
| Degree of freedom (repeated listing) | 6.60 | 6.00[7] | 5.58[7] | 4.84[7] | 5.02+/-0.25 | +0.18 |
| Freedom of religious belief | 8.12[7] | 7.79[7] | 7.24[7] | 6.71[7] | 6.76+/-0.23 | +0.05 |
| Freedom to enter or leave Hong Kong | 7.77[7] | 7.14[7] | 7.02 | 6.50[7] | 6.08+/-0.26 | -0.42[7] |
| Freedom to engage in artistic and literary creation |
6.93 | 6.54[7] | 5.63[7] | 4.96[7] | 5.21+/-0.28 | +0.25 |
| Freedom to engage in academic research |
6.78 | 6.46[7] | 5.59[7] | 4.98[7] | 4.88+/-0.28 | -0.10 |
| Freedom of speech | 6.20[7] | 5.85[7] | 5.24[7] | 4.39[7] | 4.63+/-0.29 | +0.24 |
| Freedom of publication | 5.76[7] | 5.81 | 5.10[7] | 4.40[7] | 4.57+/-0.27 | +0.16 |
| Freedom of press | 5.81[7] | 5.72 | 4.94[7] | 4.27[7] | 4.38+/-0.28 | +0.11 |
| Freedom to strike | 5.86[7] | 5.04[7] | 4.67[7] | 4.08[7] | 4.34+/-0.28 | +0.26 |
| Freedom of association | 5.38[7] | 5.13 | 4.88 | 4.35[7] | 4.17+/-0.30 | -0.17 |
| Freedom of procession and demonstration | 6.15[7] | 4.68[7] | 4.13[7] | 3.31[7] | 3.31+/-0.29 | -- |
[6]Before March 2020, weighted count was used to report subsample size. Starting from March 2020, raw count was used instead.
[7]The difference between the figure and the result from the previous survey has gone beyond the sampling error at 95% confidence level, meaning that the change is statistically significant prima facie. However, whether the difference is statistically significant is not the same as whether they are practically useful or meaningful, and different weighting methods could have been applied in different surveys.
Herewith the latest figures of the two rule of law sub-indicators and the rating of the Chief Justice:
| Date of survey | 6-9/5/19 | 16-19/9/19 | 14-17/4/20 | 6-9/7/20 | 2-5/2/21 | Latest change |
| Sample size[8] | 527-688 | 642-690 | 641-658 | 584-643 | 538-657 | -- |
| Response rate | 63.2% | 69.5% | 64.5% | 52.4% | 62.9% | -- |
| Latest findings | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding | Finding & error | -- |
| Compliance with the rule of law (repeated listing) | 6.20 | 4.41[10] | 4.45 | 4.14 | 4.50+/-0.24 | +0.36[10] |
| Impartiality of the courts | 6.20[10] | 5.52[10] | 4.60[10] | 4.24[10] | 4.42+/-0.21 | +0.17 |
| Fairness of the judicial system | 5.63[10] | 4.37[10] | 4.41 | 4.07[10] | 4.27+/-0.23 | +0.20 |
| Support rating of Chief Justice of the Court of Final Appeal[9] | 62.7[10] | 57.1[10] | 57.3 | 57.1 | 42.5+/-2.9 | -14.6[10] |
[8]Before March 2020, weighted count was used to report subsample size. Starting from March 2020, raw count was used instead.
[9]The Chief Justice of the Court of Final Appeal before January 2021 was Geoffrey Ma, after that it was Andrew Cheung.
[10]The difference between the figure and the result from the previous survey has gone beyond the sampling error at 95% confidence level, meaning that the change is statistically significant prima facie. However, whether the difference is statistically significant is not the same as whether they are practically useful or meaningful, and different weighting methods could have been applied in different surveys.
On a scale of 0 to 10, people’s ratings on the five core social indicators ranked from the highest to the lowest are “freedom”, “stability”, “prosperity”, “rule of law” and “democracy”. Their scores are 5.02, 4.99, 4.96, 4.50 and 4.27 respectively. Compared with a month ago, all social indicators have increased significantly.
As for the non-core indicators, “public order”, “civilization”, “social welfare sufficiency” and “efficiency” got relatively higher ratings, with 5.70, 5.58, 5.43 and 5.08 marks respectively. Ratings of “corruption-free practices”, “equality” and “fairness” stand at 5.00, 4.50 and 4.23 respectively. Compared with the previous survey, rating of “public order” has increased significantly, while ratings of “social welfare sufficiency”, “efficiency” and “equality” have all registered all-time lows since records began in 1997.
As for the freedom sub-indicators, the top 3 items go to freedoms of “religious belief”, “entering or leaving Hong Kong” and “artistic and literary creation”, with 6.76, 6.08 and 5.21 marks respectively, followed by freedom of “academic research”, “speech”, “publication”, “press”, “freedom to strike” and “association”, with 4.88, 4.63, 4.57, 4.38, 4.34 and 4.17 marks respectively, while freedom of “procession and demonstration” ranks the last, scoring 3.31 marks only. Compared with the previous survey, freedom of “entering or leaving Hong Kong” has dropped significantly, while freedoms of “entering or leaving Hong Kong”, “academic research” and “association” have registered all-time lows since records began in 1997.
As for the two rule of law sub-indicators, “impartiality of the courts” got 4.42 marks, while “fairness of the judicial system” got 4.27 marks. As for Chief Justice Andrew Cheung, his support rating is 42.5 on a scale of 0 to 100, which is significantly lower than the last rating of Geoffrey Ma before he stepped down, also representing an all-time low since record began in 2001.
Opinion Daily
In 2007, POP started collaborating with Wisers Information Limited whereby Wisers supplies to POP a record of significant events of that day according to the research method designed by POP. These daily entries would then become “Opinion Daily” after they are verified by POP.
For some of the polling items covered in this press release, the previous survey was conducted from 6 to 9 July, 2020 while this survey was conducted from 2 to 5 February, 2021. During this period, herewith the significant events selected from counting newspaper headlines and commentaries on a daily basis and covered by at least 25% of the local newspaper articles. Readers can make their own judgment if these significant events have any impacts to different polling figures.
| 2/2/21 | The government continues to lock down multiple areas for compulsory testing and says officials may break into flats. |
| 1/2/21 | The government locks down multiple areas for compulsory testing and lowers the threshold of imposing lockdowns. |
| 29/1/21 | The British government announces details of migration using BNO visa; the Chinese and Hong Kong governments announce they will no longer recognise BNO passports. |
| 28/1/21 | The government locks down Tung Fat Building in North Point for compulsory testing. |
| 26/1/21 | The government locks down areas around Pitt Street for compulsory testing. |
| 24/1/21 | Lockdown in Jordan ends with 13 cases found in over 7,000 people. |
| 23/1/21 | The government locks down designated areas in Jordan for compulsory testing. |
| 15/1/21 | Mandatory testing is ordered for residents of 20 buildings in Yau Ma Tei. |
| 13/1/21 | Brazil authority announces that the general efficacy of Sinovac vaccine is 50.4%. |
| 6/1/21 | Police arrests 53 democrats involved in the pro-democracy primaries who allegedly violated the national security law. |
| 5/1/21 | Geoffrey Ma says details and justifications are needed to call for judicial reform. |
| 4/1/21 | The government announces extension of anti-epidemic measures. Face-to-face classes are suspended in kindergartens, primary and secondary schools until the Lunar New Year holidays. |
| 2/1/21 | The government does not rule out mandatory use of the “LeaveHomeSafe” app. |
| 2/1/21 | The government expects to provide vaccinations to the public in February at the earliest. |
| 31/12/20 | The Court of Final Appeal grants leave to appeal to the Department of Justice. Jimmy Lai is remanded in custody. |
| 30/12/20 | Ten among the 12 Hong Kong people case are sentenced to 7 months to 3 years in prison, while two minors are transferred to Hong Kong. |
| 28/12/20 | Mandatory testing is ordered after coronavirus is detected in the sewage from a building. |
| 25/12/20 | Jimmy Lai is granted bail, but barred from leaving home, giving interviews and publishing articles. |
| 23/12/20 | The government sets up indemnity fund for vaccine and lets citizens choose which type of vaccine to take. |
| 21/12/20 | New strains of COVID-19 virus are found in the UK. The Hong Kong government bans passenger flights from the UK. |
| 17/12/20 | The government launches the fourth round of the Anti-epidemic Fund. |
| 12/12/20 | Jimmy Lai is additionally charged with “collusion with a foreign country or with external elements to endanger national security”. |
| 8/12/20 | The government tightens anti-epidemic measures again and empower authorities to impose lockdown and mandatory testing. |
| 3/12/20 | Jimmy Lai is denied bail and remanded in custody. |
| 2/12/20 | Former Demosistō member Joshua Wong, Ivan Lam and Agnes Chow are sentenced to 7 to 13.5 months in prison. |
| 30/11/20 | The government tightens anti-epidemic measures and sets up a hotline for reporting violations. |
| 26/11/20 | The Education Bureau introduces reforms to liberal studies. |
| 25/11/20 | Carrie Lam delivers her Policy Address. |
| 24/11/20 | The government tightens anti-epidemic measures and orders public venues to display QR codes for “Leave Home Safe”. |
| 21/11/20 | Police arrests 3 people including an online radio host who allegedly violated the national security law by providing financial assistance to secession. |
| 19/11/20 | The High Court rules that police officers not displaying their identification numbers violated the Bill of Rights. |
| 14/11/20 | The government tightens anti-epidemic measures and imposes mandatory testing. |
| 11/11/20 | NPCSC disqualifies 4 democrats in LegCo. |
| 1/11/20 | Police arrests 6 democrats who allegedly violated the LegCo Powers and Privileges Ordinance. |
| 31/10/20 | Seven defendants accused of rioting on 31 August 2019 are found not guilty. |
| 21/10/20 | Cathay Pacific announces massive lay-offs and closes Cathay Dragon. |
| 12/10/20 | Carrie Lam postpones Policy Address. |
| 10/10/20 | Police arrests 9 people on suspicion of helping the 12 Hong Kong people now being detained in Shenzhen flee Hong Kong. |
| 6/10/20 | The Education Bureau deregisters a primary school teacher for professional misconduct. |
| 1/10/20 | Police arrests at least 86 protesters in various districts including Causeway Bay. |
| 29/9/20 | Democrats announce survey results on whether Legislative Councillors should stay or go. |
| 22/9/20 | Police changes the definition of “media representatives” under the Police General Orders. |
| 21/9/20 | Stock price of HSBC Holdings hits 25-year low. |
| 14/9/20 | The Universal Community Testing Programme ends with 1.78 million people participated and 32 new cases found. |
| 12/9/20 | Twelve Hong Kong youngsters have been detained in Shenzhen for over two weeks. Their family members hold a press conference. |
| 11/9/20 | The jury in the Coroner’s Court returns an open verdict in the death of Chan Yin-lam. |
| 11/9/20 | Cathay Pacific and Cathay Dragon announce they will not apply for the second round of Employment Support Scheme. |
| 10/9/20 | Police arrests 15 people on suspicion of defrauding and money laundering by trading Next Digital shares. |
| 27/8/20 | China Coast Guard intercepted a speedboat to Taiwan on August 23 and arrested 12 young Hong Kong people. |
| 26/8/20 | Police arrests 13 people who were not “people in white” for rioting in the 7.21 incident. |
| 19/8/20 | Unemployment rate in Hong Kong rises to 6.1%. |
| 18/8/20 | The government announces the second round of Employment Support Scheme. |
| 11/8/20 | The NPCSC decides that the current Legislative Council shall continue to discharge duties for no less than one year. |
| 10/8/20 | Police searches Next Media and arrests Jimmy Lai, Agnes Chow and other people under national security law. |
| 8/8/20 | The Hong Kong government issues statement condemning US sanction on 11 Chinese or Hong Kong government officials. |
| 7/8/20 | The government announces mass voluntary coronavirus testing scheme. |
| 31/7/20 | The government postpones the Legislative Council election for a year. |
| 30/7/20 | Nominations of 12 democrats for Legislative Council election are invalidated. |
| 29/7/20 | All-day dine-in ban takes effect, forcing people to eat in the streets. |
| 28/7/20 | HKU Council decides to dismiss Benny Tai with immediate effect. |
| 27/7/20 | The government tightens restrictions of group gatherings to 2 people and imposes all-day dine-in ban. |
| 19/7/20 | The government announces that some civil servants will work from home and makes wearing of masks mandatory in indoor public places. |
| 15/7/20 | US President Donald Trump signs the Hong Kong Autonomy Act. |
| 13/7/20 | The government tightens restrictions of group gatherings to 4 people and imposes dine-in ban during nighttime. |
| 6/7/20 | The implementation rules for the national security law are gazetted by the government. |
Data Analysis
The latest survey shows that, on a scale of 0 to 10, people’s ratings on the five core social indicators ranked from the highest to the lowest are “freedom”, “stability”, “prosperity”, “rule of law” and “democracy”. Their scores are 5.02, 4.99, 4.96, 4.50 and 4.27 respectively. Compared with a month ago, all social indicators have increased significantly.
As for the seven non-core social indicators, ratings of “corruption-free practices”, “equality” and “fairness” are relatively lower. Compared with the last survey, rating of “public order” has increased significantly, while ratings of “social welfare sufficiency”, “efficiency” and “equality” have all registered all-time lows since records began in 1997.
As for the ten freedom sub-indicators, freedom of “academic research”, “speech”, “publication”, “press”, “freedom to strike”, “association” and “procession and demonstration” all score lower than 5 marks. Freedom of “entering or leaving Hong Kong” has dropped significantly when compared to the last survey, while freedoms of “entering or leaving Hong Kong”, “academic research” and “association” have registered all-time lows since records began in 1997.
In the area of rule of law sub-indicators, both “impartiality of the courts” and “fairness of the judicial system” continue to score below 5 marks. The first-ever support rating of Chief Justice Andrew Cheung Geoffrey Ma after he took office is 42.5, which is significantly lower than the last rating of Geoffrey Ma before he stepped down, also representing an all-time low since record began in 2001.
